GOP hope, Democratic worry: Are midterm polls underestimating Republicans?
Are Democrats overconfident? Republicans too anxious? The Post's pollster answers questions about polling bias and how to read the midterm surveys.

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Are Democrats overconfident? Republicans too anxious? The Post's pollster answers questions about polling bias and how to read the midterm surveys.
Increased demand for polling has strained call centers that conduct surveys, squeezed capacity and complicated the task of getting accurate reads on public opi…
Graham was barely in the lead in a conservative, southern poll

The case centered on a 2024 poll that showed Kamala Harris leading Donald Trump by three percentage points among likely voters in Iowa.
Trump had argued the Iowa polling company sought to damage his campaign by publishing an inaccurate poll.

Political strategists and pollsters say surveys are usually more reliable after Labor Day.
A major polling aggregator announced Thursday that it has permanently barred data from political survey firm, The Public Sentiment Institute (TPSI), following…

A 21-year-old has identified himself as the man behind the fake polling operation that presented itself as an independent polling firm before admitting its sur…

The polling industry is taking another hit after getting Michigan's Democratic Senate primary wrong, predicting a runaway Abdul El-Sayed victory in the race th…

The independent poll shows her trailing with 6 percent support among likely Democratic primary voters.

'they're starting in a pretty deep hole'

CNN data analyst Harry Enten is pushing back on claims of a growing fracture within the Republican base, arguing that new polling shows continued and near-tota…

CNN chief data analyst Harry Enten named President Donald Trump the "kingmaker in chief," at least when it came to his record on Republican primary endorsement…

On Tuesday, CNN made clear that rumors of a serious split within the GOP are baseless. CNN host John Berman discussed the situation with pollster Harry Enten.…

'The death of the American dream'

'You're ridiculous'

'they don't understand the nuances of this'

'dangerous for Republicans'

The Democrat brand, according to CNN's chief data analyst Harry Enten, is "in the basement" - with multiple polls showing that Americans in near record numbers…

CNN chief data analyst Harry Enten voiced his own surprise on Tuesday as polls indicate that Republicans are not seeing a drop in popularity due to the ongoing…

As Israel's war against Hamas terrorists in Gaza approaches its third year following the October 7, 2023, massacre, the conflict has shaken the foundations of…

'This race could be winnable'
'Gallup used to be very good'
'it's not a party'
'Republicans actually slightly ahead'
Even CNN's chief data analyst was shocked when he looked at polls showing the dramatic shift in support - or lack thereof - for Israel, particularly among youn…

The president sued pollster J. Ann Selzer and the Des Moines Register over a poll showing Kamala Harris leading in Iowa, a state he won, before the 2024 electi…
'The most surprising'

CNN data analyst Harry Enten voiced his disbelief on Monday as the latest polls show that Republicans have eliminated the Democratic Party's double-digit advan…

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